Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yao Zhikui enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nolan Ticman has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nolan Ticman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nolan Ticman
oldest →L
vs Frankie Saenz · Aug 14 Yao ZhikuiL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Fredy Serrano · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nolan TicmanMetricYao Zhikui
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-1.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nolan TicmanYao Zhikui
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nolan Ticman(2 fights)Yao Zhikui(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.8|Blue +3.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nolan TicmanTargetYao Zhikui
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nolan Ticman edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Nolan Ticman edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control1:38
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
