Flyweight
3 Rounds
Yao Zhikui won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 16, 2015·Manila, Philippines, Philippines
Model Prediction: Nolan Ticman wins(70.4%)
Actual result: Yao Zhikui wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yao Zhikui enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nolan Ticman has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nolan Ticman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nolan Ticman
Red Corner
VS
Yao Zhikui
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nolan Ticman
oldest →latest
L
vs Frankie Saenz · Aug 14Yao ZhikuiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Royston Wee · Aug 14L
KOvs Fredy Serrano · Nov 15L
vs Jenel Lausa · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nolan TicmanMetricYao Zhikui
2.57
Strikes / min
1.44
2.53
Strikes absorbed / min
2.82
67%
Strike defense
48%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.66
60%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.04Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-1.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nolan TicmanYao Zhikui
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nolan Ticman(2 fights)Yao Zhikui(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Nolan Ticman
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Yao Zhikui
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4