Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Nora Cornolle won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Nora Cornolle wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Nora Cornolle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nora Cornolle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nora Cornolle has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Hailey Cowan has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hailey Cowan (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nora Cornolle
Red Corner
VS
Hailey Cowan
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nora CornolleL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Sep 23W
KOvs Melissa Mullins · Apr 24L
vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Sep 24L
vs Karol Rosa · Aug 25L
SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Feb 26Hailey Cowan
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nora CornolleMetricHailey Cowan
2.73
Strikes / min
2.66
2.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.92
56%
Strike defense
40%
0.22
TDs / 15 min
1.95
47%
Takedown defense
80%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.69evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nora CornolleHailey Cowan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nora Cornolle(6 fights)Hailey Cowan(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.7-33.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-518.0518.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Nora Cornolle
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Hailey Cowan
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3