Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vaughan Lee has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Vaughan Lee has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Norifumi Yamamoto (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Norifumi YamamotoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Feb 11L
vs Darren Uyenoyama · Nov 11 Vaughan LeeL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Motonobu Tezuka · Feb 13L
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Jun 13L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · May 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Norifumi YamamotoMetricVaughan Lee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.08Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Norifumi YamamotoVaughan Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Norifumi Yamamoto(3 fights)Vaughan Lee(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.6|Blue +3.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Norifumi YamamotoTargetVaughan Lee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Norifumi Yamamoto rounds
Round 1Norifumi Yamamoto edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:40
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
