Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nurullo Aliev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 11, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNurullo Aliev: WrestlervsJoe Solecki: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Nurullo Aliev wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Nurullo Aliev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nurullo Aliev has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nurullo Aliev
Red Corner
VS
Joe Solecki
Blue Corner
-720
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+530
(16%)
25
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nurullo AlievW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafael Alves · Feb 23W
vs Shem Rock · Nov 25Joe SoleckiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 21W
vs Alex Da Silva · Jun 22W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nurullo AlievMetricJoe Solecki
2.72
Strikes / min
1.97
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
58%
Strike defense
50%
2.12
TDs / 15 min
2.06
80%
Takedown defense
14%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.09evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nurullo AlievJoe Solecki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nurullo Aliev(3 fights)Joe Solecki(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.915.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+462.0-462.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Nurullo Aliev
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3
Joe Solecki
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9