Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nurullo Aliev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 22, 2025·Doha, Qatar, Qatar
Style matchupNurullo Aliev: WrestlervsShem Rock: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Nurullo Aliev wins(73.8%)
Actual result: Nurullo Aliev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Shem Rock (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nurullo Aliev
Red Corner
VS
Shem Rock
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
25
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nurullo AlievW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafael Alves · Feb 23W
vs Joe Solecki · Jan 25Shem Rock
oldest →latest
L
vs Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nurullo AlievMetricShem Rock
2.72
Strikes / min
3.03
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
58%
Strike defense
49%
2.12
TDs / 15 min
1.00
80%
Takedown defense
88%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.09Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap-1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nurullo AlievShem Rock
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nurullo Aliev(3 fights)Shem Rock(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.3-37.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Nurullo Aliev
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3
Shem Rock
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2