Welterweight
3 Rounds
7 days away
Elo1491
Elo—
Oban ElliottvsMichael OliveiraUFC Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia
Fight begins in
Style matchup
The model's pick for this fight is locked
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Unlock every pick — $9/monthScouting Report
- Michael Oliveira has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Michael Oliveira has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Oban Elliott
Michael Oliveira
+330
Vegas Odds
-400
1491
N/A
28
28
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'0"
6'1"
182.88 cm
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Oban Elliott
oldest →
vs Val Woodburn · Feb 24
vs Preston Parsons · Jul 24
KOvs Bassil Hafez · Nov 24
vs Seokhyeon Ko · Jun 25
SUBvs Jonathan Micallef · Jan 26
latestMichael Oliveira
Output & Defense Comparison
Oban ElliottMetricMichael Oliveira
3.62
Strikes / min
8.40
2.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.36
61%
Strike defense
66%
1.52
TDs / 15 min
0.00
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Oban ElliottMichael Oliveira
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Oban Elliott
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Michael Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights0