Flyweight
3 Rounds
Asu Almabayev won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 5, 2023·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupOde Osbourne: Well-roundedvsAsu Almabayev: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Asu Almabayev wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Asu Almabayev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ode Osbourne has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
- Ode Osbourne has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ode Osbourne
Red Corner
VS
Asu Almabayev
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ode OsbourneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24L
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24W
KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25L
vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25L
vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26Asu AlmabayevW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jose Johnson · Jun 24W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Mar 25W
vs Jose Ochoa · Jul 25W
SUBvs Alex Perez · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ode OsbourneMetricAsu Almabayev
2.94
Strikes / min
2.31
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
1.99
49%
Strike defense
53%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
4.46
66%
Takedown defense
44%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ode OsbourneAsu Almabayev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ode Osbourne(10 fights)Asu Almabayev(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Ode Osbourne
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Asu Almabayev
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7