Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ode Osbourne won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 5, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupOde Osbourne: Well-roundedvsLuis Gurule: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Ode Osbourne wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Ode Osbourne wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ode Osbourne enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Luis Gurule has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
- Ode Osbourne has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ode Osbourne
Red Corner
VS
Luis Gurule
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
34
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
185.42 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ode OsbourneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Aug 23L
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24L
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24L
vs Steve Erceg · Aug 25L
vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26Luis GuruleL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jesus Aguilar · Sep 25L
vs Alden Coria · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ode OsbourneMetricLuis Gurule
2.94
Strikes / min
4.47
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.74
49%
Strike defense
59%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
0.58
66%
Takedown defense
58%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ode OsbourneLuis Gurule
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ode Osbourne(10 fights)Luis Gurule(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.532.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Ode Osbourne
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Luis Gurule
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights3