Lightweight
3 Rounds
Arman Tsarukyan won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2019·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Style matchupOlivier Aubin-Mercier: WrestlervsArman Tsarukyan: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins(59.8%)
Actual result: Arman Tsarukyan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Olivier Aubin-Mercier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Red Corner
VS
Arman Tsarukyan
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
37
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Olivier Aubin-MercierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Dec 16W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Sep 17W
KOvs Evan Dunham · Apr 18L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18Arman TsarukyanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23W
vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Olivier Aubin-MercierMetricArman Tsarukyan
2.48
Strikes / min
3.85
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
55%
Strike defense
54%
2.36
TDs / 15 min
3.26
70%
Takedown defense
75%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Olivier Aubin-MercierArman Tsarukyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+58.3-58.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Arman Tsarukyan
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11