Lightweight
3 Rounds
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 25, 2015·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupOlivier Aubin-Mercier: WrestlervsDavid Michaud: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier threatens submissions; David Michaud has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Olivier Aubin-Mercier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Red Corner
VS
David Michaud
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Olivier Aubin-MercierL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Sep 17W
KOvs Evan Dunham · Apr 18L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 19David Michaud
oldest →latest
L
vs Li Jingliang · May 14W
vs Garett Whiteley · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Olivier Aubin-MercierMetricDavid Michaud
2.48
Strikes / min
3.25
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
55%
Strike defense
54%
2.36
TDs / 15 min
2.53
70%
Takedown defense
77%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49evenly matched on net striking-1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Olivier Aubin-MercierDavid Michaud
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)David Michaud(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
David Michaud
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights3