Lightweight
3 Rounds
Diego Ferreira won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 30, 2016·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupOlivier Aubin-Mercier: WrestlervsDiego Ferreira: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins(75.0%)
Actual result: Diego Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Olivier Aubin-Mercier (53.5%).
- Diego Ferreira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Red Corner
VS
Diego Ferreira
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Olivier Aubin-MercierL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Sep 17W
KOvs Evan Dunham · Apr 18L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 19Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Olivier Aubin-MercierMetricDiego Ferreira
2.48
Strikes / min
4.70
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
55%
Strike defense
55%
2.36
TDs / 15 min
0.82
70%
Takedown defense
57%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Olivier Aubin-MercierDiego Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.3-35.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-141.0141.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Diego Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17