Lightweight
3 Rounds
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins(65.2%)
Actual result: Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier threatens submissions; Jake Lindsey has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Olivier Aubin-Mercier has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jake Lindsey (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Red Corner
VS
Jake Lindsey
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
37
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Olivier Aubin-MercierL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Sep 17W
KOvs Evan Dunham · Apr 18L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Jul 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · Dec 18L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Jul 19Jake LindseyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jon Tuck · Jun 14L
KOvs Joe Duffy · Mar 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Olivier Aubin-MercierMetricJake Lindsey
2.48
Strikes / min
3.44
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
55%
Strike defense
46%
2.36
TDs / 15 min
0.65
70%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Olivier Aubin-MercierJake Lindsey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Olivier Aubin-Mercier(10 fights)Jake Lindsey(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+52.0-52.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Jake Lindsey
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights3