Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Moraes won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Thursday, December 10, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sergio Moraes wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Sergio Moraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Omari Akhmedov
Red Corner
VS
Sergio Moraes
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
38
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Omari Akhmedov
oldest →latest
W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19L
vs Chris Weidman · Aug 20W
SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21Sergio MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Means · Feb 18W
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Sep 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19L
KOvs James Krause · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Omari AkhmedovMetricSergio Moraes
2.97
Strikes / min
2.42
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
55%
Strike defense
59%
2.58
TDs / 15 min
1.20
65%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Omari AkhmedovSergio Moraes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)Sergio Moraes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Omari Akhmedov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13