Middleweight
3 Rounds
Omari Akhmedov won · SUB
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 20, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupOmari Akhmedov: WrestlervsTom Breese: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tom Breese wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Omari Akhmedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Omari Akhmedov
Red Corner
VS
Tom Breese
Blue Corner
+128
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-159
(61%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Omari AkhmedovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Boetsch · Mar 19W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19L
vs Chris Weidman · Aug 20L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21Tom Breese
oldest →latest
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Feb 16L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Feb 20W
KOvs KB Bhullar · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Omari AkhmedovMetricTom Breese
2.97
Strikes / min
3.34
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
55%
Strike defense
60%
2.58
TDs / 15 min
0.00
65%
Takedown defense
70%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Omari AkhmedovTom Breese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)Tom Breese(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.0-20.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Omari Akhmedov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14
Tom Breese
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8