Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Urbina won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 20, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupOrion Cosce: Well-roundedvsGilbert Urbina: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Orion Cosce wins(61.0%)
Actual result: Gilbert Urbina wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Urbina enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gilbert Urbina is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Orion Cosce has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Orion Cosce has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Orion Cosce (52.9%).
- Gilbert Urbina has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Orion Cosce
Red Corner
VS
Gilbert Urbina
Blue Corner
+106
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-124
(55%)
31
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Orion Cosce
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Phil Rowe · Jul 21W
vs Blood Diamond · Jul 22Gilbert UrbinaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Bryan Battle · Aug 21L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Feb 24L
KOvs Uros Medic · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Orion CosceMetricGilbert Urbina
2.77
Strikes / min
5.57
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.62
44%
Strike defense
44%
1.92
TDs / 15 min
2.86
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.25Δ 2.20 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Orion CosceGilbert Urbina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Orion Cosce(3 fights)Gilbert Urbina(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.6-18.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-336.0336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Orion Cosce
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Gilbert Urbina
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4