Lightweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Prado won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 15, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ottman Azaitar wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Francisco Prado wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Prado is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ottman Azaitar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Ottman Azaitar has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ottman Azaitar (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Ottman Azaitar
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Prado
Blue Corner
-104
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-112
(53%)
36
Age
23
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ottman AzaitarL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Teemu Packalen · Sep 19W
KOvs Khama Worthy · Sep 20L
KOvs Matt Frevola · Nov 22L
KOvs Michael Johnson · Dec 24Francisco PradoL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Feb 23L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 24L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 25L
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ottman AzaitarMetricFrancisco Prado
4.43
Strikes / min
3.68
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
52%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.76
100%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.32evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ottman AzaitarFrancisco Prado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ottman Azaitar(5 fights)Francisco Prado(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.1-36.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ottman Azaitar
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Francisco Prado
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5