Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1500
Oumar Sy
Elo1538

Oumar SyvsModestas BukauskasUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Fight begins in
Style matchupOumar Sy: WrestlervsModestas Bukauskas: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

Unlock every pick — $9/month

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Oumar Sy has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
  • Oumar Sy has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Oumar Sy
Red Corner
VS
Modestas Bukauskas
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1500
Elo
1538
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'4"
Height
6'3"
210.82 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Oumar Sy
oldest →
W
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · May 24
W
vs Da Woon Jung · Sep 24
L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Jun 25
W
KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Mar 26
latest
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →
W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25
W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25
W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25
L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26
W
DECvs Christian Edwards · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Oumar SyMetricModestas Bukauskas
3.41
Strikes / min
3.24
1.87
Strikes absorbed / min
4.05
66%
Strike defense
50%
2.45
TDs / 15 min
0.26
66%
Takedown defense
79%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap-0.81
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Oumar Sy(5 fights)Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO56%

Historical win share: Modestas Bukauskas earned 38% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission35%

Historical win share: Oumar Sy earned 33% of wins by submission.

Decision9%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Oumar Sy

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights5

Modestas Bukauskas

StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12