Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paddy Pimblett won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPaddy Pimblett: Pressure fightervsJared Gordon: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Paddy Pimblett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Gordon has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jared Gordon has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Paddy Pimblett has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Paddy Pimblett
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gordon
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paddy Pimblett
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Jul 22W
vs Tony Ferguson · Dec 23W
SUBvs King Green · Jul 24W
KOvs Michael Chandler · Apr 25L
vs Justin Gaethje · Jan 26Jared Gordon
oldest →latest
W
vs Leonardo Santos · Aug 22W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paddy PimblettMetricJared Gordon
5.49
Strikes / min
5.57
3.89
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
42%
Strike defense
55%
0.69
TDs / 15 min
1.91
44%
Takedown defense
60%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.60evenly matched on net striking+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paddy PimblettJared Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paddy Pimblett(8 fights)Jared Gordon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.32.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Paddy Pimblett
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Jared Gordon
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights16