Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paddy Pimblett won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2022·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupPaddy Pimblett: Pressure fightervsJordan Leavitt: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Paddy Pimblett wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Paddy Pimblett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paddy Pimblett threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Jordan Leavitt has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Leavitt (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Paddy Pimblett
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Leavitt
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
31
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paddy Pimblett
oldest →latest
W
vs Jared Gordon · Dec 22W
vs Tony Ferguson · Dec 23W
SUBvs King Green · Jul 24W
KOvs Michael Chandler · Apr 25L
vs Justin Gaethje · Jan 26Jordan LeavittW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Trey Ogden · Apr 22W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paddy PimblettMetricJordan Leavitt
5.49
Strikes / min
2.21
3.89
Strikes absorbed / min
1.59
42%
Strike defense
58%
0.69
TDs / 15 min
3.15
44%
Takedown defense
30%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.60evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paddy PimblettJordan Leavitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paddy Pimblett(8 fights)Jordan Leavitt(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.60.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Paddy Pimblett
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Jordan Leavitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9