Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Paige VanZant won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 5, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPaige VanZant: Submission grapplervsAlex Chambers: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Paige VanZant wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Paige VanZant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Alex Chambers has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Alex Chambers threatens submissions; Paige VanZant has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Alex Chambers has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Chambers (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Paige VanZant
Red Corner
VS
Alex Chambers
Blue Corner
-1500
(94%)
Vegas Odds
+1000
(9%)
32
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'4"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paige VanZant
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20Alex ChambersL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Aisling Daly · Dec 14W
SUBvs Kailin Curran · May 15L
vs Nadia Kassem · Nov 17L
SUBvs Livinha Souza · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paige VanZantMetricAlex Chambers
3.35
Strikes / min
2.97
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
5.10
42%
Strike defense
50%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
2.31
34%
Takedown defense
53%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.73Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap-2.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paige VanZantAlex Chambers
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paige VanZant(9 fights)Alex Chambers(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Paige VanZant
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9
Alex Chambers
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5