Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jessica-Rose Clark won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 14, 2018·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupPaige VanZant: Submission grapplervsJessica-Rose Clark: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Paige VanZant wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Jessica-Rose Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Jessica-Rose Clark has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Paige VanZant
Red Corner
VS
Jessica-Rose Clark
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paige VanZant
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rose Namajunas · Dec 15W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20Jessica-Rose ClarkL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21L
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paige VanZantMetricJessica-Rose Clark
3.35
Strikes / min
3.73
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
42%
Strike defense
58%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
1.66
34%
Takedown defense
62%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.73evenly matched on net striking+0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paige VanZantJessica-Rose Clark
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paige VanZant(9 fights)Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.2-11.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+336.0-336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.1-3.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Paige VanZant
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9
Jessica-Rose Clark
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9