Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Paige VanZant won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 22, 2014·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupPaige VanZant: Submission grapplervsKailin Curran: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Paige VanZant wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Paige VanZant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kailin Curran enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Kailin Curran has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Kailin Curran has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kailin Curran has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Paige VanZant
Red Corner
VS
Kailin Curran
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
32
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paige VanZant
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20Kailin CurranL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Emily Peters Kagan · Dec 15L
SUBvs Felice Herrig · Jul 16L
vs Jamie Moyle · Dec 16L
vs Alexandra Albu · Jul 17L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paige VanZantMetricKailin Curran
3.35
Strikes / min
3.89
2.62
Strikes absorbed / min
4.75
42%
Strike defense
53%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
2.00
34%
Takedown defense
61%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.73Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.86
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paige VanZant(9 fights)Kailin Curran(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Paige VanZant
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9
Kailin Curran
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7