Welterweight
3 Rounds
James Head won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2012·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupPapy Abedi: WrestlervsJames Head: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Papy Abedi wins(59.7%)
Actual result: James Head wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Head threatens submissions; Papy Abedi has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- James Head has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Papy Abedi (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Papy Abedi
Red Corner
VS
James Head
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
47
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Papy Abedi
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Thiago Alves · Nov 11W
vs Besam Yousef · Apr 13L
KOvs Dylan Andrews · Aug 13James HeadL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Nick Ring · Jun 11W
vs Brian Ebersole · Jul 12L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Dec 12L
SUBvs Jason High · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Papy AbediMetricJames Head
2.80
Strikes / min
2.75
3.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
48%
Strike defense
49%
3.47
TDs / 15 min
0.41
50%
Takedown defense
66%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Papy AbediJames Head
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Papy Abedi(4 fights)James Head(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.71.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Papy Abedi
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights4
James Head
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5