Lightweight
3 Rounds
John Makdessi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 11, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: John Makdessi wins(56.0%)
Actual result: John Makdessi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Makdessi has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Makdessi has 86pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Pat Audinwood has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Audinwood
Red Corner
VS
John Makdessi
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
188 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat Audinwood
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Sep 10John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat AudinwoodMetricJohn Makdessi
1.17
Strikes / min
5.52
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min
4.15
41%
Strike defense
68%
0.80
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
86%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.14Δ 4.51 — meaningful gap+1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat AudinwoodJohn Makdessi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Audinwood(2 fights)John Makdessi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Pat Audinwood
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2
John Makdessi
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20