Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Pat Barry won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Pat Barry wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Pat Barry wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Barry is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Christian Morecraft has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Pat Barry has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Pat Barry has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Christian Morecraft has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Barry
Red Corner
VS
Christian Morecraft
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
46
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'6"
187.96 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat BarryL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 11L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · May 12W
KOvs Shane del Rosario · Dec 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jun 13L
KOvs Soa Palelei · Dec 13Christian Morecraft
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stefan Struve · Aug 10W
SUBvs Sean McCorkle · Mar 11L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jun 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat BarryMetricChristian Morecraft
2.72
Strikes / min
2.82
3.54
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
59%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.26
76%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat BarryChristian Morecraft
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Barry(9 fights)Christian Morecraft(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.513.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-97.097.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Pat Barry
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Christian Morecraft
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights4