Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Lavar Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Lavar Johnson wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Lavar Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lavar Johnson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Pat Barry has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Pat Barry has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Lavar Johnson has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Barry
Red Corner
VS
Lavar Johnson
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
46
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'4"
187.96 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat BarryL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 11W
KOvs Christian Morecraft · Jan 12W
KOvs Shane del Rosario · Dec 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jun 13L
KOvs Soa Palelei · Dec 13Lavar JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joey Beltran · Jan 12L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · May 12L
vs Brendan Schaub · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat BarryMetricLavar Johnson
2.72
Strikes / min
5.39
3.54
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
59%
Strike defense
55%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.61
76%
Takedown defense
54%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 3.67 — meaningful gap+2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat BarryLavar Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Barry(9 fights)Lavar Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.424.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+8.0-8.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Pat Barry
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Lavar Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights4