Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Pat Barry won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Pat Barry wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Pat Barry wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Barry enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Pat Barry is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Shane del Rosario has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Pat Barry has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Shane del Rosario (53.5%).
- Shane del Rosario has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Barry
Red Corner
VS
Shane del Rosario
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'4"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat BarryL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 11W
KOvs Christian Morecraft · Jan 12L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · May 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jun 13L
KOvs Soa Palelei · Dec 13Shane del Rosario
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat BarryMetricShane del Rosario
2.72
Strikes / min
3.93
3.54
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
59%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.20
76%
Takedown defense
16%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat BarryShane del Rosario
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Barry(9 fights)Shane del Rosario(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.511.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Pat Barry
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Shane del Rosario
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach—
Fights2