Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stefan Struve won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2011·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Pat Barry wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Stefan Struve wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Barry is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
- Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Pat Barry has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Pat Barry has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Pat Barry has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stefan Struve has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Barry
Red Corner
VS
Stefan Struve
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
46
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
213.36 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat BarryL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Christian Morecraft · Jan 12L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · May 12W
KOvs Shane del Rosario · Dec 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jun 13L
KOvs Soa Palelei · Dec 13Stefan StruveL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat BarryMetricStefan Struve
2.72
Strikes / min
3.12
3.54
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
59%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.56
76%
Takedown defense
55%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat BarryStefan Struve
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Barry(9 fights)Stefan Struve(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.513.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-29.029.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Pat Barry
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20