Lightweight
3 Rounds
Khabib Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 21, 2013·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupPat Healy: WrestlervsKhabib Nurmagomedov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Khabib Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Healy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Healy
Red Corner
VS
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat HealyL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bobby Green · Dec 13L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 14L
vs Gleison Tibau · Jul 14Khabib NurmagomedovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edson Barboza · Dec 17W
vs Al Iaquinta · Apr 18W
SUBvs Conor McGregor · Oct 18W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Sep 19W
SUBvs Justin Gaethje · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat HealyMetricKhabib Nurmagomedov
2.57
Strikes / min
4.10
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
50%
Strike defense
65%
3.08
TDs / 15 min
5.32
55%
Takedown defense
84%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap+2.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat HealyKhabib Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Healy(4 fights)Khabib Nurmagomedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-72.972.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.5-48.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Pat Healy
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Khabib Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13