Featherweight
3 Rounds
Pat Sabatini won · U-DEC R3
PS
CM
Pat SabatinivsChepe Mariscal
UFC Event · Saturday, November 15, 2025New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupPat Sabatini: WrestlervsChepe Mariscal: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Pat Sabatini wins(58.6%)
Actual result: Pat Sabatini wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chepe Mariscal enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Sabatini
Red Corner
VS
Chepe Mariscal
Blue Corner
-116
(54%)
Vegas Odds
-102
(50%)
35
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Damon Jackson · Sep 22W
SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25Chepe MariscalW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevor Peek · Jun 23W
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Sep 23W
vs Morgan Charriere · Apr 24W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 24W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricChepe Mariscal
1.69
Strikes / min
4.14
1.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
54%
Strike defense
52%
4.27
TDs / 15 min
2.34
50%
Takedown defense
59%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat SabatiniChepe Mariscal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)Chepe Mariscal(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.79.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Pat Sabatini
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Chepe Mariscal
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6