Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Pat Sabatini has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25W
DECvs William Gomis · May 26 Joanderson BritoW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Nov 23W
KOvs Jack Shore · May 24L
vs William Gomis · Sep 24W
vs Isaac Thomson · Dec 25W
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricJoanderson Brito
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pat SabatiniJoanderson Brito
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)Joanderson Brito(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.0|Blue -8.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pat SabatiniTargetJoanderson Brito
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control4:43
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control4:34
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control4:30
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
