Featherweight
3 Rounds
Pat Sabatini won · SUB R2
PS
LA
Pat SabatinivsLucas Almeida
UFC Event · Saturday, June 17, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPat Sabatini: WrestlervsLucas Almeida: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Pat Sabatini wins(74.7%)
Actual result: Pat Sabatini wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Lucas Almeida is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Pat Sabatini has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Pat Sabatini has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Sabatini
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Almeida
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Damon Jackson · Sep 22L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25Lucas AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Michael Trizano · Jun 22L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Jun 24L
vs Danny Silva · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Aswell Jr. · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricLucas Almeida
1.69
Strikes / min
4.94
1.16
Strikes absorbed / min
5.36
54%
Strike defense
44%
4.27
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
53%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat SabatiniLucas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)Lucas Almeida(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.3-26.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Pat Sabatini
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Lucas Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6