Featherweight
3 Rounds
Pat Sabatini won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, April 24, 2021·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupPat Sabatini: WrestlervsTristan Connelly: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Pat Sabatini wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Pat Sabatini wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Pat Sabatini
Red Corner
VS
Tristan Connelly
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
35
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25Tristan Connelly
oldest →latest
W
vs Michel Pereira · Sep 19L
vs Darren Elkins · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricTristan Connelly
1.69
Strikes / min
3.31
1.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
54%
Strike defense
50%
4.27
TDs / 15 min
0.33
50%
Takedown defense
60%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Pat SabatiniTristan Connelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)Tristan Connelly(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.619.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
Pat Sabatini
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Tristan Connelly
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3