Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jakub Wiklacz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Patchy Mix wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Jakub Wiklacz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jakub Wiklacz has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Patchy Mix (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Patchy Mix
Red Corner
VS
Jakub Wiklacz
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
32
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patchy Mix
oldest →latest
L
vs Mario Bautista · Jun 25Jakub Wiklacz
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patchy MixMetricJakub Wiklacz
5.30
Strikes / min
3.40
7.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
43%
Strike defense
46%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
41%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.00Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patchy MixJakub Wiklacz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patchy Mix(2 fights)Jakub Wiklacz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.111.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Patchy Mix
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2
Jakub Wiklacz
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2