Featherweight
3 Rounds
Aaron Pico won · Decision R3
Elo1481
Elo1506
Patricio PitbullvsAaron PicoUFC Prediction Result
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Official fight result
Aaron Pico won
Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Patricio Pitbull wins(50.1%)
Scouting Report
- Patricio Pitbull has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Patricio Pitbull has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Patricio Pitbull
Aaron Pico
—
Vegas Odds
—
1481
1506
39
29
Orthodox
Orthodox
5'6"
5'8"
170.18 cm
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Patricio Pitbull
Aaron Pico
oldest →
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Aug 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Patricio PitbullMetricAaron Pico
2.77
Strikes / min
6.16
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
55%
Strike defense
45%
1.26
TDs / 15 min
6.54
74%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Patricio PitbullAaron Pico
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Patricio Pitbull
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights0
Aaron Pico
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1