Middleweight
3 Rounds
Patrick Cote won · DQ R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2012·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Patrick Cote wins(66.4%)
Actual result: Patrick Cote wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Sakara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Sakara has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessio Sakara has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Cote
Red Corner
VS
Alessio Sakara
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CoteL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Riggs · Apr 15W
KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17Alessio SakaraL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs James Irvin · Mar 10L
vs Chris Weidman · Mar 11L
KOvs Brian Stann · Apr 12L
vs Nico Musoke · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CoteMetricAlessio Sakara
2.81
Strikes / min
3.96
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
48%
Strike defense
59%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
2.18
43%
Takedown defense
62%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patrick CoteAlessio Sakara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cote(10 fights)Alessio Sakara(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.936.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Patrick Cote
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Alessio Sakara
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5