Welterweight
3 Rounds
Patrick Cote won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 25, 2015·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Joe Riggs wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Patrick Cote wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Riggs has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joe Riggs (53.5%).
- Patrick Cote has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Cote
Red Corner
VS
Joe Riggs
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
46
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CoteL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Stephen Thompson · Sep 14W
KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17Joe Riggs
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Dec 14W
vs Ron Stallings · Sep 15L
KOvs Chris Camozzi · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CoteMetricJoe Riggs
2.81
Strikes / min
2.41
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
1.69
48%
Strike defense
57%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
2.45
43%
Takedown defense
62%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patrick CoteJoe Riggs
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cote(10 fights)Joe Riggs(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.4-10.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Patrick Cote
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Joe Riggs
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4