Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tom Lawlor won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 23, 2010·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Patrick Cote wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Tom Lawlor wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Lawlor has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Lawlor (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Cote
Red Corner
VS
Tom Lawlor
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
46
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CoteL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Riggs · Apr 15W
KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17Tom Lawlor
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · May 12L
vs Francis Carmont · Nov 12W
SUBvs Michael Kuiper · Apr 13W
KOvs Gian Villante · Jul 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CoteMetricTom Lawlor
2.81
Strikes / min
2.50
3.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
48%
Strike defense
60%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
2.46
43%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patrick CoteTom Lawlor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cote(10 fights)Tom Lawlor(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Patrick Cote
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12
Tom Lawlor
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8