Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Patrick Cummins won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2017·Uniondale, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupPatrick Cummins: WrestlervsGian Villante: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Patrick Cummins wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Patrick Cummins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Patrick Cummins has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Gian Villante has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Cummins
Red Corner
VS
Gian Villante
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
45
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CumminsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · May 16W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 17L
vs Corey Anderson · Apr 18L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 18L
KOvs Ed Herman · May 19Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CumminsMetricGian Villante
4.26
Strikes / min
4.38
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
55%
Strike defense
55%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
0.45
28%
Takedown defense
83%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 2.00 — meaningful gap-1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patrick CumminsGian Villante
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cummins(10 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.9-13.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Patrick Cummins
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights13
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18