Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Patrick Cummins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2017·Buffalo, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupPatrick Cummins: WrestlervsJan Blachowicz: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Patrick Cummins wins(63.7%)
Actual result: Patrick Cummins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jan Blachowicz has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Cummins
Red Corner
VS
Jan Blachowicz
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CumminsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · May 16W
vs Gian Villante · Jul 17L
vs Corey Anderson · Apr 18L
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 18L
KOvs Ed Herman · May 19Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CumminsMetricJan Blachowicz
4.26
Strikes / min
3.55
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
55%
Strike defense
52%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
0.98
28%
Takedown defense
69%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patrick CumminsJan Blachowicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cummins(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.4-13.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Patrick Cummins
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights13
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21