Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Patrick Walsh won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Daniel Spohn wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Patrick Walsh wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Walsh has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Patrick Walsh has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Daniel Spohn has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Walsh
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Spohn
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'4"
180.34 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick Walsh
oldest →latest
L
vs Daniel Kelly · Feb 15Daniel SpohnNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick WalshMetricDaniel Spohn
2.03
Strikes / min
2.42
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
1.60
64%
Strike defense
53%
3.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
28%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.80Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap+0.82
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Walsh(2 fights)Daniel Spohn(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Patrick Walsh
Stance—
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Daniel Spohn
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights1