Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tom Duquesnoy won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2017·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupPatrick Williams: WrestlervsTom Duquesnoy: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Patrick Williams wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Tom Duquesnoy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Duquesnoy is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Patrick Williams has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Tom Duquesnoy has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Patrick Williams has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Patrick Williams has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Patrick Williams
Red Corner
VS
Tom Duquesnoy
Blue Corner
+650
(13%)
Vegas Odds
-1000
(91%)
44
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick Williams
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Beal · Apr 14W
SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Jun 15L
vs Luke Sanders · Apr 18Tom Duquesnoy
oldest →latest
L
vs Cody Stamann · Oct 17W
vs Terrion Ware · Mar 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick WilliamsMetricTom Duquesnoy
4.12
Strikes / min
3.83
4.12
Strikes absorbed / min
5.30
52%
Strike defense
62%
2.71
TDs / 15 min
0.42
100%
Takedown defense
46%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Patrick WilliamsTom Duquesnoy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Williams(4 fights)Tom Duquesnoy(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Patrick Williams
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Tom Duquesnoy
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3