Middleweight
3 Rounds
Paul Craig won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupPaul Craig: Submission grapplervsAndre Muniz: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Andre Muniz wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Paul Craig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andre Muniz (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Paul Craig
Red Corner
VS
Andre Muniz
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Bo Nickal · Nov 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25Andre MunizL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Uriah Hall · Jul 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23W
vs JunYong Park · Dec 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul CraigMetricAndre Muniz
2.50
Strikes / min
2.08
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
43%
Strike defense
51%
1.43
TDs / 15 min
3.98
35%
Takedown defense
35%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paul CraigAndre Muniz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Craig(10 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.942.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Paul Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights20
Andre Muniz
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights10