Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rodolfo Bellato won · CNC R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 14, 2025·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupPaul Craig: Submission grapplervsRodolfo Bellato: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Rodolfo Bellato is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Paul Craig has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Rodolfo Bellato has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Paul Craig
Red Corner
VS
Rodolfo Bellato
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
38
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul CraigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Bo Nickal · Nov 24L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25Rodolfo Bellato
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Dec 23D
vs Jimmy Crute · Feb 25L
vs Navajo Stirling · Sep 25W
KOvs Luke Fernandez · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul CraigMetricRodolfo Bellato
2.50
Strikes / min
5.37
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
5.86
43%
Strike defense
46%
1.43
TDs / 15 min
1.38
35%
Takedown defense
94%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paul CraigRodolfo Bellato
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Craig(10 fights)Rodolfo Bellato(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Paul Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights20
Rodolfo Bellato
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5