Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 17, 2016·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupPaul Felder: StrikervsDaron Cruickshank: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Paul Felder wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daron Cruickshank (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Paul Felder
Red Corner
VS
Daron Cruickshank
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs James Vick · Feb 19W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Daron CruickshankL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Erik Koch · May 14L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 14W
vs Anthony Njokuani · Oct 14L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Mar 15L
SUBvs James Krause · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul FelderMetricDaron Cruickshank
3.70
Strikes / min
2.88
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
48%
Strike defense
57%
0.29
TDs / 15 min
2.04
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paul FelderDaron Cruickshank
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Felder(10 fights)Daron Cruickshank(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.91.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Daron Cruickshank
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12