Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Marvin Vettori won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 23, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupPaulo Costa: Pressure fightervsMarvin Vettori: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Marvin Vettori wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Marvin Vettori wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marvin Vettori (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Paulo Costa
Red Corner
VS
Marvin Vettori
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
35
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo Costa
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Israel Adesanya · Sep 20W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo CostaMetricMarvin Vettori
6.15
Strikes / min
4.74
5.96
Strikes absorbed / min
4.55
49%
Strike defense
56%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
1.41
77%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paulo CostaMarvin Vettori
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Costa(10 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.76.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+259.0-259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Marvin Vettori
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17