Middleweight
3 Rounds
Paulo Costa won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 3, 2017·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Paulo Costa wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Paulo Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Costa is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Oluwale Bamgbose has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Paulo Costa has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Oluwale Bamgbose (52.9%).
- Oluwale Bamgbose has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Paulo Costa
Red Corner
VS
Oluwale Bamgbose
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
35
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo Costa
oldest →latest
L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 21W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25Oluwale BamgboseL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Aug 15W
KOvs Daniel Sarafian · Feb 16L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Apr 16L
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo CostaMetricOluwale Bamgbose
6.15
Strikes / min
2.45
5.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
49%
Strike defense
55%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
0.94
77%
Takedown defense
37%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paulo CostaOluwale Bamgbose
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Costa(10 fights)Oluwale Bamgbose(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.1-34.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-329.0329.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Oluwale Bamgbose
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5