Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gasan Umalatov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Gasan Umalatov wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Gasan Umalatov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gasan Umalatov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gasan Umalatov has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Paulo Thiago
Red Corner
VS
Gasan Umalatov
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo ThiagoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Apr 12L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14Gasan UmalatovL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Feb 14L
vs Cathal Pendred · Oct 14L
vs Viscardi Andrade · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo ThiagoMetricGasan Umalatov
1.71
Strikes / min
2.23
1.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
63%
Strike defense
59%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.75
63%
Takedown defense
90%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-1.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paulo ThiagoGasan Umalatov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Thiago(9 fights)Gasan Umalatov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.126.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Paulo Thiago
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Gasan Umalatov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4