Welterweight
3 Rounds
Martin Kampmann won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 12, 2010·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupPaulo Thiago: Submission grapplervsMartin Kampmann: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Martin Kampmann wins(50.9%)
Actual result: Martin Kampmann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Martin Kampmann has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Paulo Thiago
Red Corner
VS
Martin Kampmann
Blue Corner
-218
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+198
(34%)
45
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo ThiagoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14Martin KampmannL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rick Story · Nov 11W
SUBvs Thiago Alves · Mar 12W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 12L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Nov 12L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo ThiagoMetricMartin Kampmann
1.71
Strikes / min
3.22
1.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
63%
Strike defense
62%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
1.86
63%
Takedown defense
78%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paulo ThiagoMartin Kampmann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Thiago(9 fights)Martin Kampmann(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Paulo Thiago
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Martin Kampmann
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8