Welterweight
3 Rounds
Paulo Thiago won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2013·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupPaulo Thiago: Submission grapplervsMichel Prazeres: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Michel Prazeres wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Paulo Thiago wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Paulo Thiago has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Paulo Thiago has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Paulo Thiago
Red Corner
VS
Michel Prazeres
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
45
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
187.96 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo ThiagoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Apr 12L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo ThiagoMetricMichel Prazeres
1.71
Strikes / min
2.38
1.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
63%
Strike defense
57%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
3.94
63%
Takedown defense
47%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Paulo ThiagoMichel Prazeres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Thiago(9 fights)Michel Prazeres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-50.950.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Paulo Thiago
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14